Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Debby makes landfall

And the crowd goes wild!
Debby is forecast to cross the Florida Peninsula tonight and early Wednesday before moving north of the Bahamas Wednesday night and Thursday. The wind field will relax gradually for the Florida West Coast Wednesday and then the East Coast Wednesday night and Thursday. Expect that the Tropical Storm Warnings will be dropped very soon. It will take some time for the flood waters to recede on the Sopchoppy, Suwannee, and St. Mary's (Major flood stage) Rivers  in North Florida, and the  the Anclote (in Major Flood Stage), Alafia, and Manatee Rivers in Central Florida around Tampa Bay. All but the St. Mary's are expected to drop below flood stages by Saturday.
Southeast River Forecast Center

Have to give kudos to the GFS Model Guidance forecast model in that it ended up as the most reliable model for the past week and for Debby. Albeit maybe for the wrong reasons at times but the solution was very good. For this reason I am going with the current forecast for the winds for the next 5 days and the Penny Palfrey Cuba to the Keys swim. Penny-Palfrey Swim on Facebook

The Winds and Seas forecast looks good for Friday and gets better for the duration of the crossing. As does the Gulf Stream.

Go make a successful swim Penny, Chris, Captains Bob, John, and Chris. See you onshore in the Keys!

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