Rafael has been initiated. I will hold off on the obvious and let those of you that know me interpret the facts.
50 knots of shear with a immense ridge building off the Eastern Seaboard which will only add to the shearing environment.
The track if Rafael holds on keeps the storm heading more north and if you notice the distance between the forecast points, it really speeds up as it get caught up in the trough. This should keep the impacts to Bermuda minimal in both intensity and duration. Winds should be gradually increasing with the trough closing in and may get a little squally Monday night. Not nearly as bad as a strong front dropping out of a Nor'easter.